Skip to main content

Why haven't you posted anything here, Jerome?

 I haven't added a new article here in years, and I know my tons of adoring fans are beside themselves [laughs to himself]. Anyway, that's because I was lucky enough to be a contributor at numberFire (which I believe is being renamed FanDuel Research) for the previous three NFL seasons. 

It was a great experience I was able to learn a lot about writing on and communicating quantitative ideas in sports. This year they trimmed down their contributors and got rid of most (if not all) of the seasonal writers. It worked out for me personally. I just moved into a new house, have a 2-year-old, and a new puppy, so I've been kept busy. 

Anyway, I wanted to at least document some of the articles I've written, and thanks to the Wayback Machine you can what I wrote about, with one of the pieces getting saved. See below:

Whole Article: Monday Night Betting - Week 13 of the 2022 Season

Lists of Articles (that aren't saved):

Most of my 2022 Articles (Monday Night Betting)
Last 12 of my 2021 Articles (Monday Night Betting)
Last 12 of my 2020 Articles (NFL Power Rankings)


Popular posts from this blog

Combine-ing Football and Physics

There are many ways football analysts can describe a player.  He's a high energy player...hits with a lot of force...has exceptional power…puts in the work. For the most part we all understand what is meant when these types of words are used to describe some physical attribute of a player. However, in the world of physics each of the words I used above has a specific meaning and, you guessed it, a formula. This is going to dive into what is sometimes referred to as Newtonian (or Classical) Mechanics , which looks at how forces applied to objects create and influence motion. This is, of course, named after Sir Isaac Newton , the founder of gravity and partially credited with inventing calculus (I'm team Leibniz , but that's maybe for a later time). You may have heard of Newton's Three Laws of Motion - that's what we're going to explore here and relate the mechanics of motion to the NFL combine.  Newton discovering gravity by getting donked in the head by an...

The Mysterious NFL Passer Rating

So WTF is the NFL's passer rating, really? It's one of those stats announcers and talking heads on TV like to use to make a point when it's mentioned only when it's very high or very low. I knew  only a few things  (and I think is the case for most people)  about passer ratings: Greater values are "better", it ranges from 0 to 158.3, and sometimes a quarterback would be better off throwing all their attempts into the ground, or so the announcer would say.  This prompted several questions. How is this rating calculated? Are greater values always better? Why is the max 158.3? And what is with that weird scenario I hear about where a QB would be better off with all incompletions?  I'll hit on a few of the key concepts and background of passer ratings, but if you want to read more on this the NFL has goes into more detail here . Quick Background of Passer Ratings The point of this passer rating system is to compare passers' performances from season t...

First Post! What to expect from fantasy football starters (ideally, at least)?

Let's get into what I'm going to call  starter-worthy production. If you're in a 12-team league, with the typical two RB slots to fill, then the top 24 running backs are typically deemed "starters." To get a sense of how things may go for you this week, you visit your favorite rankings site to check out where your guys fall in the top 20 to 30 players at the position. But what point production should you feel good about from those players? Can we find a point threshold that helps identify production worthy of being in your starting lineup? Let's take a look...   I'm defining starter-worthy production for each week as the top 24 scores for RB and WR, and the top 12 scores for QB and TE. The dataset consists of the top scores for each week including 50 for RB/WR, 18 for QB, and 20 for TE. The splits were needed for simplicity and don’t change the analysis. Looking at the visualization below, the blue histogram shows what starter-worthy produ...